Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 5.910030 6.515599 7.161523 7.902642 8.730572 9.628230 10.676810
2025-12-07 4.886476 5.714601 6.657725 7.815025 9.201923 10.816754 12.848398
2025-12-14 4.104539 5.038788 6.162056 7.620313 9.475344 11.772092 14.855499
2025-12-21 3.585640 4.587519 5.849364 7.569504 9.875161 12.889645 17.179790
2025-12-28 3.275152 4.346640 5.753158 7.756652 10.572855 14.443764 20.259937
2026-01-04 3.011876 4.128422 5.648771 7.901130 11.205793 15.959771 23.468682
2026-01-11 2.759027 3.891108 5.483436 7.926584 11.652151 17.237911 26.474353
2026-01-18 2.519356 3.644290 5.273065 7.852178 11.924959 18.266315 29.204701
2026-01-25 2.305698 3.412632 5.058073 7.739768 12.112973 19.164710 31.818725
2026-02-01 2.117979 3.201395 4.851300 7.612903 12.253240 19.985193 34.387426
2026-02-08 1.951904 3.008195 4.653213 7.475818 12.353450 20.735900 36.913152
2026-02-15 1.824944 2.865505 4.521386 7.431784 12.600358 21.756050 40.055155
2026-02-22 1.745575 2.795878 4.506221 7.590941 13.232961 23.561696 45.011837
2026-03-01 1.633818 2.663756 4.375931 7.536605 13.473987 24.674457 48.768612
2026-03-08 1.512922 2.506675 4.189995 7.364092 13.474625 25.325411 51.666950
2026-03-15 1.425257 2.399789 4.081932 7.322442 13.717635 26.475335 55.801253
2026-03-22 1.379724 2.362984 4.094365 7.506522 14.421542 28.640968 62.537700
2026-03-29 1.331279 2.316957 4.085670 7.647731 15.052092 30.728511 69.439638
2026-04-05 1.270864 2.244446 4.021844 7.673253 15.443037 32.344158 75.476631
2026-04-12 1.202910 2.153034 3.915190 7.601988 15.618297 33.498653 80.554865
2026-04-19 1.135911 2.058792 3.796007 7.493814 15.700307 34.447533 85.260751
2026-04-26 1.072506 1.967198 3.675315 7.371564 15.737260 35.293446 89.836025
2026-05-03 1.012798 1.878914 3.554928 7.239383 15.737318 36.049489 94.295575